Ransomware Trends 2024: Insights for Global Cybersecurity Readiness
Research Wing
Innovation and Research
PUBLISHED ON
Dec 31, 2024
10
Disclaimer:
This report is based on extensive research conducted by CyberPeace Research using publicly available information, and advanced analytical techniques. The findings, interpretations, and conclusions presented are based on the data available at the time of study and aim to provide insights into global ransomware trends.
The statistics mentioned in this report are specific to the scope of this research and may vary based on the scope and resources of other third-party studies. Additionally, all data referenced is based on claims made by threat actors and does not imply confirmation of the breach by CyberPeace. CyberPeace includes this detail solely to provide factual transparency and does not condone any unlawful activities. This information is shared only for research purposes and to spread awareness. CyberPeace encourages individuals and organizations to adopt proactive cybersecurity measures to protect against potential threats.
CyberPeace Research does not claim to have identified or attributed specific cyber incidents to any individual, organization, or nation-state beyond the scope of publicly observable activities and available information. All analyses and references are intended for informational and awareness purposes only, without any intention to defame, accuse, or harm any entity.
While every effort has been made to ensure accuracy, CyberPeace Research is not liable for any errors, omissions, subsequent interpretations and any unlawful activities of the findings by third parties. The report is intended to inform and support cybersecurity efforts globally and should be used as a guide to foster proactive measures against cyber threats.
Executive Summary:
The 2024 ransomware landscape reveals alarming global trends, with 166 Threat Actor Groups leveraging 658 servers/underground resources and mirrors to execute 5,233 claims across 153 countries. Monthly fluctuations in activity indicate strategic, cyclical targeting, with peak periods aligned with vulnerabilities in specific sectors and regions. The United States was the most targeted nation, followed by Canada, the UK, Germany, and other developed countries, with the northwestern hemisphere experiencing the highest concentration of attacks. Business Services and Healthcare bore the brunt of these operations due to their high-value data, alongside targeted industries such as Pharmaceuticals, Mechanical, Metal, Electronics, and Government-related professional firms. Retail, Financial, Technology, and Energy sectors were also significantly impacted.
This research was conducted by CyberPeace Research using a systematic modus operandi, which included advanced OSINT (Open-Source Intelligence) techniques, continuous monitoring of Ransomware Group activities, and data collection from 658 servers and mirrors globally. The team utilized data scraping, pattern analysis, and incident mapping to track trends and identify hotspots of ransomware activity. By integrating real-time data and geographic claims, the research provided a comprehensive view of sectoral and regional impacts, forming the basis for actionable insights.
The findings emphasize the urgent need for proactive Cybersecurity strategies, robust defenses, and global collaboration to counteract the evolving and persistent threats posed by ransomware.
Overview:
This report provides insights into ransomware activities monitored throughout 2024. Data was collected by observing 166 Threat Actor Groups using ransomware technologies across 658 servers/underground resources and mirrors, resulting in 5,233 claims worldwide. The analysis offers a detailed examination of global trends, targeted sectors, and geographical impact.
Top 10 Threat Actor Groups:
The ransomware group ‘ransomhub’ has emerged as the leading threat actor, responsible for 527 incidents worldwide. Following closely are ‘lockbit3’ with 522 incidents and ‘play’ with 351. Other Groups are ‘akira’, ‘hunters’, ‘medusa’, ‘blackbasta’, ‘qilin’, ‘bianlian’, ‘incransom’. These groups usually employ advanced tactics to target critical sectors, highlighting the urgent need for robust cybersecurity measures to mitigate their impact and protect organizations from such threats.
Monthly Ransomware Incidents:
In January 2024, the value began at 284, marking the lowest point on the chart. The trend rose steadily in the subsequent months, reaching its first peak at 557 in May 2024. However, after this peak, the value dropped sharply to 339 in June. A gradual recovery follows, with the value increasing to 446 by August. September sees another decline to 389, but a sharp rise occurs afterward, culminating in the year’s highest point of 645 in November. The year concludes with a slight decline, ending at 498 in December 2024 (till 28th of December).
Top 10 Targeted Countries:
The United States consistently topped the list as the primary target probably due to its advanced economic and technological infrastructure.
Other heavily targeted nations include Canada, UK, Germany, Italy, France, Brazil, Spain, and India.
A total of 153 countries reported ransomware attacks, reflecting the global scale of these cyber threats
Top Affected Sectors:
Business Services and Healthcare faced the brunt of ransomware threat due to the sensitive nature of their operations.
Specific industries under threats:
Pharmaceutical, Mechanical, Metal, and Electronics industries.
Professional firms within the Government sector.
Other sectors:
Retail, Financial, Technology, and Energy sectors were also significant targets.
Geographical Impact:
The continuous and precise OSINT(Open Source Intelligence) work on the platform, performed as a follow-up action to data scraping, allows a complete view of the geography of cyber attacks based on their claims. The northwestern region of the world appears to be the most severely affected by Threat Actor groups. The figure below clearly illustrates the effects of this geographic representation on the map.
Ransomware Threat Trends in India:
In 2024, the research identified 98 ransomware incidents impacting various sectors in India, marking a 55% increase compared to the 63 incidents reported in 2023. This surge highlights a concerning trend, as ransomware groups continue to target India's critical sectors due to its growing digital infrastructure and economic prominence.
Top Threat Actors Group Targeted India:
Among the following threat actors ‘killsec’ is the most frequent threat. ‘lockbit3’ follows as the second most prominent threat, with significant but lower activity than killsec. Other groups, such as ‘ransomhub’, ‘darkvault’, and ‘clop’, show moderate activity levels. Entities like ‘bianlian’, ‘apt73/bashe’, and ‘raworld’ have low frequencies, indicating limited activity. Groups such as ‘aps’ and ‘akira’ have the lowest representation, indicating minimal activity. The chart highlights a clear disparity in activity levels among these threats, emphasizing the need for targeted cybersecurity strategies.
Top Impacted Sectors in India:
The pie chart illustrates the distribution of incidents across various sectors, highlighting that the industrial sector is the most frequently targeted, accounting for 75% of the total incidents. This is followed by the healthcare sector, which represents 12% of the incidents, making it the second most affected. The finance sector accounts for 10% of the incidents, reflecting a moderate level of targeting. In contrast, the government sector experiences the least impact, with only 3% of the incidents, indicating minimal targeting compared to the other sectors. This distribution underscores the critical need for enhanced cybersecurity measures, particularly in the industrial sector, while also addressing vulnerabilities in healthcare, finance, and government domains.
Month Wise Incident Trends in India:
The chart indicates a fluctuating trend with notable peaks in May and October, suggesting potential periods of heightened activity or incidents during these months. The data starts at 5 in January and drops to its lowest point,2,in February. It then gradually increases to 6 in March and April, followed by a sharp rise to 14 in May. After peaking in May, the metric significantly declines to 4 in June but starts to rise again, reaching 7 in July and 8 in August. September sees a slight dip to 5 before the metric spikes dramatically to its highest value, 24, in October. Following this peak, the count decreases to 10 in November and then drops further to 7 in December.
CyberPeace Advisory:
Implement Data Backup and Recovery Plans: Backups are your safety net. Regularly saving copies of your important data ensures you can bounce back quickly if ransomware strikes. Make sure these backups are stored securely—either offline or in a trusted cloud service—to avoid losing valuable information or facing extended downtime.
Enhance Employee Awareness and Training: People often unintentionally open the door to ransomware. By training your team to spot phishing emails, social engineering tricks, and other scams, you empower them to be your first line of defense against attacks.
Adopt Multi-Factor Authentication (MFA): Think of MFA as locking your door and adding a deadbolt. Even if attackers get hold of your password, they’ll still need that second layer of verification to break in. It’s an easy and powerful way to block unauthorized access.
Utilize Advanced Threat Detection Tools: Smart tools can make a world of difference. AI-powered systems and behavior-based monitoring can catch ransomware activity early, giving you a chance to stop it in its tracks before it causes real damage.
Conduct Regular Vulnerability Assessments: You can’t fix what you don’t know is broken. Regularly checking for vulnerabilities in your systems helps you identify weak spots. By addressing these issues proactively, you can stay one step ahead of attackers.
Conclusion:
The 2024 ransomware landscape reveals the critical need for proactive cybersecurity strategies. High-value sectors and technologically advanced regions remain the primary targets, emphasizing the importance of robust defenses. As we move into 2025, it is crucial to anticipate the evolution of ransomware tactics and adopt forward-looking measures to address emerging threats.
Global collaboration, continuous innovation in cybersecurity technologies, and adaptive strategies will be imperative to counteract the persistent and evolving threats posed by ransomware activities. Organizations and governments must prioritize preparedness and resilience, ensuring that lessons learned in 2024 are applied to strengthen defenses and minimize vulnerabilities in the year ahead.
In September 2025, a joint operation led by the U.S. Secret Service, in coordination with the New York Police Department (NYPD) and other federal partners, dismantled an illicit telecommunications network of unprecedented scale and sophistication operating in the New York tri-state area. The timing of the takedown, occurring just hours before the commencement of high-level proceedings at the United Nations General Assembly (UNGA), underscored the imminent and severe nature of the threat posed by this clandestine infrastructure. This report provides a comprehensive analysis of the operation, the technology involved, the multi-domain threats it presented, the complex ecosystem of actors it served, and the profound strategic implications for U.S. national and homeland security.
The seized assets included over 300 SIM servers and more than 100,000 active Subscriber Identity Module (SIM) cards, constituting a massive "SIM farm." This infrastructure functioned as a parallel, rogue telecommunications system, capable of a wide spectrum of malicious activities. The threat was multi-faceted, representing a dangerous convergence of capabilities that spanned the domains of cybercrime, physical infrastructure disruption, and espionage.
The network possessed the technical capacity to launch a catastrophic denial-of-service (DoS) attack against New York City's cellular infrastructure, potentially disabling emergency communications and creating widespread chaos.
Forensic analysis has confirmed the network's primary function as a secure, anonymous communications platform for a range of illicit actors. Early findings indicate its use by transnational criminal organizations (TCOs)—including drug cartels and human trafficking rings—and nation-state actors. This shared use of a single, powerful infrastructure points to the emergence of a "criminal-as-a-service" model, where state-level capabilities are made available to non-state actors, blurring the lines between traditional crime and state-sponsored operations and vastly complicating attribution and law enforcement response. The network's strategic placement within a 35-mile radius of the UN headquarters during the General Assembly also highlights its inherent potential as a tool for espionage, surveillance, and influence operations against high-value diplomatic targets.
The UNGA SIM farm takedown serves as a watershed moment, exposing the acute vulnerability of the "invisible" critical infrastructure that underpins modern society. The incident demonstrates a strategic shift by adversaries from targeting individual endpoints to compromising the core of our communications networks. This report concludes that this event necessitates a fundamental re-evaluation of national security priorities, mandating the development of new investigative paradigms to address convergent threats, the strengthening of public-private partnerships with the telecommunications sector, and the urgent consideration of updated legal and regulatory frameworks to counter the weaponization of telecommunications technology.
Operation Silent Signal: The Anatomy of a Takedown
The disruption of the New York tri-state SIM farm was not the result of a chance discovery but the culmination of a deliberate and sophisticated protective intelligence investigation. The operation, codenamed for the purposes of this analysis as "Operation Silent Signal," showcases a modern, intelligence-led approach to law enforcement, where the meticulous tracing of seemingly tactical threats led to the neutralization of a strategic national security vulnerability. The anatomy of this takedown reveals the professionalism of both the criminal enterprise and the coordinated multi-agency response required to dismantle it.
The Trigger: From Swatting to a National Security Threat
The investigation's genesis lies in a series of targeted, anonymous threats directed at seniors. U.S. government officials in the spring of 2025.1 These were not idle threats but took the form of sophisticated harassment campaigns, including "swafling" attacks.1 Swafling is a dangerous criminal tactic wherein an individual makes a false report of a serious emergency—such as a hostage situation, bomb threat, or active shooter—at a target's address. The goal is to deceive law enforcement into dispatching a large, heavily armed response, such as a SWAT team, creating a situation that is not only terrifying for the victim but also carries a high risk of unintended violence and diverts critical emergency resources.1
These aflacks, which targeted lawmakers both within and outside of New York, represented a direct challenge to the protective mission of the U.S. Secret Service.1 In response, the agency's newly established Advanced Threat Interdiction Unit—a specialized section created to disrupt the most significant and imminent threats to its protectees—initiated a monthlong investigation.4 The unit's mandate is prevention, and by tracing the origin of these anonymous, fraudulent calls, investigators began to uncover a common technological backbone.6 What began as an inquiry into acts of intimidation against individuals quickly escalated as it became clear that the tools used were not those of a lone actor but were components of a vast, centralized infrastructure. This progression from a tactical law enforcement problem (harassment of officials) to a strategic national security issue (the discovery of a rogue telecom network) exemplifies a critical shift in the modern threat landscape. The infrastructure enabling these threats was not merely a tool for crime but a weaponized system capable of far greater disruption, and its discovery compelled an immediate and large-scale response.
Operational Execution: A Coordinated Multi-Agency Response
Recognizing the multifaceted nature of the threat, the Secret Service orchestrated a comprehensive, multi-agency operation. The complexity of the network—spanning physical locations, cyber infrastructure, and potential links to foreign intelligence—necessitated a collaborative effort that drew upon the unique capabilities of federal, state, and local partners. The core operational team included the U.S. Secret Service and the NYPD, augmented by crucial technical and investigative support from the Department of Homeland Security's Homeland Security Investigations (HSI), the Department of Justice (DOJ), and the Office of the Director of National Intelligence (ODNI).1 This coalition highlights the recognition that the threat was not confined to a single jurisdiction or domain but represented a convergent danger requiring expertise in physical security, cyber forensics, criminal investigation, and national intelligence analysis.
The timing of the operation's climax was critical. The final seizures and dismantling of the network were concluded just hours before President Donald Trump was scheduled to address the UN General Assembly, a period of heightened security in New York City with nearly 150 world leaders in aflendance.4 This deliberate timing indicates that investigators assessed the network as posing a clear, present, and imminent danger, particularly given its potential to disrupt communications during such a high-profile international event.5
The physical raids targeted at least five separate sites across the New York tri-state area, revealing a distributed and carefully concealed operational footprint.1 The operators chose their locations with a clear intent to evade detection, housing the sophisticated equipment in non-descript, abandoned apartment buildings and other properties.1 These locations, which included sites in Armonk, New York; Greenwich, Connecticut; Queens, New York; and parts of New Jersey, were all situated within a strategic 35-mile radius of the UN headquarters in Manhaflan.3 This geographic dispersal was not accidental. It created a resilient, decentralized network that could not be neutralized by a single raid, while simultaneously forming a "circle around New York City's cellular network infrastructure," positioning the SIM farm for maximum potential impact on its target.3 This level of foresight in operational security and strategic placement points to a highly professional and disciplined organization, employing tradecraft more commonly associated with intelligence agencies than with typical criminal enterprises.
The Cache: An Unprecedented Seizure
The material recovered during the raids constituted what officials described as the most extensive telecommunications threat ever discovered on American soil and the largest seizure of its kind.1 The sheer scale of the hardware and its operational readiness painted a stark picture of a well-funded, professional, and rapidly expanding enterprise. The inventory of seized assets included:
Over 300 Co-located SIM Servers: These devices are the core of the SIM farm, acting as hardware gateways that can house and manage thousands of SIM cards simultaneously. They interface with the internet via Voice over IP (VoIP) and with the cellular network via the installed SIMs, effectively bridging the two systems.4 Photos released by the Secret Service show racks of these servers, laden with antennas and SIM card slots, indicative of a commercial-grade, scalable operation.10
Over 100,000 Active SIM Cards: The massive number of active SIM cards provided the network with its immense capacity for communication and disruption. This volume allowed operators to rotate through numbers frequently to avoid detection by mobile carriers and to generate the traffic necessary for a large-scale DoS aflack.4 Some of the recovered SIM cards were confirmed to have been produced by MobileX, a wireless provider whose CEO pledged full cooperation with the investigation.9 Critically, investigators also found large stockpiles of additional SIM cards ready for deployment, suggesting the operators were in the process of doubling or even tripling the network's capacity.4 This indicates that the network was not a static asset but a growing infrastructure intended for long-term use.
Ancillary Criminal Materiel: The discovery of 80 grams of cocaine and illegal firearms at the server sites provided unequivocal evidence of the network's direct connection to traditional, violent organized crime.1 This finding is crucial because it dissolves any ambiguity about the nature of the operators. They were not merely white-collar tech criminals engaged in telecommunications fraud; they were part of a broader criminal ecosystem involved in narcotics trafficking and armed crime. The presence of these items demonstrates a deep and tangible convergence of cybercrime and physical-world criminality.
Investigation Status: The Forensic Challenge and the Hunt fior Operators
In the immediate aftermath of the takedown, the primary objective of law enforcement was the neutralization of the infrastructural threat. Consequently, officials announced that while the network had been dismantled and no longer posed a danger, no arrests had yet been made.4 This operational sequence—prioritizing threat mitigation over immediate arrests—is common in complex national security investigations where the paramount concern is preventing a potential catastrophic event. Officials have indicated, however, that arrests could be forthcoming as the forensic phase of the investigation yields more evidence about the network's operators and users.4
The central focus of the ongoing investigation is the monumental task of conducting a forensic analysis of the more than 100,000 seized SIM cards.7 This effort is far more complex than a standard digital forensics case. As one official noted, it is akin to analyzing the entire contents of 100,000 separate cell phones.1 Investigators must meticulously comb through call detail records, text messages, data usage, and any other stored information to map the network's communications, identify its specific users, and uncover evidence of plots or criminal conspiracies. This process is expected to be lengthy and resource-intensive but holds the key to aflributing the network's operation to specific individuals, criminal organizations, and potentially, foreign governments. The public statements from the Secret Service serve as a clear message to the operators: the physical network has been dismantled, and a methodical digital hunt for those behind it is now underway.4
The Technology ofi Disruption: Deconstructing the SIM Farm
To fully grasp the gravity of the threat neutralized in New York, it is essential to understand the technology at its core. The seized network was not a simple collection of phones but a sophisticated, parallel telecommunications infrastructure. Its design represents a significant evolution, weaponizing technologies originally developed for financial fraud into a multi-purpose tool for disruption, clandestine communication, and espionage. A clear distinction must be made between this hardware-based system and the more commonly understood social engineering tactic of SIM swapping.
SIM Box vs. SIM Swap: Clarifiying the Technology
Public discourse often conflates various forms of SIM-based fraud. However, the technology and threat model of the UNGA network are fundamentally different from those of SIM swapping. Understanding this distinction is critical for developing appropriate countermeasures.
SIM Swapping (SIM Hijacking): This is a form of identity theft that targets an individual's legitimate mobile phone account. The attacker uses social engineering—impersonating the victim and leveraging stolen personal information—to deceive a mobile carrier's customer service representative into transferring the victim's phone number to a new SIM card controlled by the attacker.18 The primary objective is typically financial. Once in control of the phone number, the attacker can intercept one-time passwords and two-factor authentication (2FA) codes sent via SMS, allowing them to gain unauthorized access to the victim's bank accounts, cryptocurrency wallets, email, and social media profiles.19 This is an issue on an account, not on the network infrastructure itself.
SIM Box (SIM Farm/GSM Gateway): This is a hardware-based system that does not hijack existing numbers but instead uses a massive pool of its own SIM cards to manipulate telecommunications networks.23 A SIM box, or a larger-scale SIM farm, is a device that holds numerous SIM cards and connects to the internet. Its original and most common illicit use is for "interconnect bypass fraud." In this scheme, international calls are routed over the internet (using VoIP) to the SIM box located in the destination country. The SIM box then uses one of its local SIM cards to place the final leg of the call, making it appear as a domestic call to the local carrier.23 This allows the fraudster to bypass the expensive international termination fees charged by carriers, causing billions of dollars in revenue losses to the telecom industry annually.23 The UNGA network represents a massive, weaponized evolution of this SIM box concept, repurposing it from a tool of financial arbitrage to a platform for national security threats.
The following table provides a clear typology of these distinct threats, clarifying their core technologies, objectives, and modus operandi. This framework is essential for understanding why the UNGA network constituted a threat of an entirely different order of magnitude than a typical SIM swapping scheme.
Architecture of the Seized Network: A Parallel Telecom System
The network dismantled by the Secret Service was, in effect, a private, rogue telecommunications company operating in the shadows. Its architecture was designed for scale, anonymity, and impact, leveraging commercially available technologies in a novel and malicious configuration. The core components functioned as a cohesive system to inject massive amounts of untraceable traffic into the public cellular network.
The system was built around more than 300 SIM servers, which are specialized pieces of hardware designed to manage large banks of SIM cards.4 These servers, functioning as "banks of mock cellphones," were connected to the internet, allowing them to receive commands and data from operators located anywhere in the world.7 The operators would route calls or text messages via VoIP to these servers. Upon receiving the VoIP data, the server would select one of the thousands of installed SIM cards and use it to place a call or send a text through the local cellular network, as if it were an ordinary mobile phone.11
This architecture provided several powerful capabilities:
Massive Scale and Automation: With over 100,000 SIM cards at its disposal, the network could generate an enormous volume of traffic. The system was automated, allowing operators to manage the entire farm remotely and programmatically rotate through SIM cards to avoid detection algorithms used by carriers to flag suspicious activity.23 The estimated capacity to send up to 30 million text messages per minute highlights a capability far beyond simple fraud, enabling city-scale disruption or mass-messaging campaigns.1
Anonymity and Spoofing: A key feature of this architecture is the ability to mask the true origin of communications. Calls and texts originating from the SIM farm would display the local phone number of the specific SIM card used for the final leg of the transmission, a technique known as caller ID spoofing.23 This makes the communication appear legitimate and local, bypassing security checks and making it nearly impossible for the recipient or law enforcement to trace it back to its actual international or VoIP source.
Encrypted and Clandestine Communications: By controlling both the internet-based (VoIP) and cellular-based portions of the communication channel, the operators could offer a highly secure and anonymous communication service to their clients.5 For criminal organizations or intelligence agencies, this provided a bespoke network, physically located within the target country but logically isolated from conventional surveillance, offering a layer of operational security superior to relying on commercial encrypted applications.
The Economics of IIIicit Telecommunications
The sheer scale and sophistication of the UNGA network point to a significant financial investment and a highly organized, professional operation. Officials repeatedly emphasized that this was not an amateur endeavor, describing it as a "well-organized and well-funded" enterprise that cost millions of dollars in hardware and recurring SIM card costs alone.4 This level of capital outlay suggests either the backing of a nation-state or a highly profitable "criminal infrastructure-as-a-service" business model.
In such a model, the network's operators would not necessarily be the end-users of the malicious activity. Instead, they would function as a utility, leasing the network's capabilities—be it for launching a DoS attack, sending mass phishing texts, or providing secure communication channels—to a variety of clients. These clients could range from nation-state intelligence agencies to transnational drug cartels, each paying for a specific service. This business model is highly attractive to illicit actors. It allows the operators to generate substantial revenue to cover their high operational costs and turn a profit, while providing clients with access to sophisticated capabilities without the need to build or maintain the infrastructure themselves. The discovery of drugs and firearms at the sites further suggests that the operators may have been a TCO themselves, using the network for their own activities while also selling access to others as a diversified revenue stream.1 The significant financial backing required for such an operation makes it a formidable challenge for law enforcement, as it implies a resilient and resourceful adversary.
The Threat Matrix: A Multi-Domain Assessment
The UNGA SIM farm was not a single-purpose tool but a versatile platform capable of launching a spectrum of aflacks across multiple domains. Its potential impact ranged from direct, physical-world disruption of critical infrastructure to enabling clandestine criminal and espionage activities. A comprehensive risk assessment requires dissecting this threat matrix into its distinct but interconnected components: the potential for kinetic-cyber effects, its role as a haven for transnational crime, and its utility as a vector for foreign intelligence operations.
Kinetic-Cyber Effects: Denial-of-Service against Critical Infrastructure
The most immediate and alarming threat posed by the network was its capacity to execute a large-scale denial-of-service (DoS) attack against the cellular infrastructure of New York City.5
This capability moves beyond the realm of traditional cybercrime, which targets data, and into the domain of kinetic-cyber effects, which target the availability of physical infrastructure.
Officials warned that the system could "disable cell phone towers," "jam 911 calls," and effectively "shut down the cellular network," creating a communications blackout in one of the world's most critical urban centers 1
The technical execution of such an attack leverages the network's immense scale. A cellular network's capacity is finite; each cell tower can only handle a certain number of simultaneous connections and a specific volume of traffic.31 A DoS attack from the SIM farm would involve programming all 100,000-plus SIM cards to simultaneously attempt to connect to nearby cell towers, flooding them with registration requests, junk calls, or data packets.11 This sudden, massive influx of illegitimate traffic would consume the towers' available resources—including processing power and radio frequency channels—saturating their capacity and leaving no room for legitimate users 31
The real-world impact of such a cellular blackout would be catastrophic, particularly during a high-security event like the UNGA. Legitimate users would be unable to make calls, send texts, or access data. This would cripple the ability of the public to call 911 or receive emergency alerts. It would also severely hamper the communications of first responders—police, fire, and emergency medical services—disrupting their command-and-control capabilities during a potential crisis. The potential for chaos led officials to draw parallels to the spontaneous network collapses that occurred under extreme strain following the September 11th aflacks and the Boston Marathon bombing, but with a key difference: this would be a deliberate, malicious, and targeted event.7 The ability to create such widespread disruption using relatively accessible telecommunications technology represents a new and dangerous form of asymmetric threat against urban infrastructure.
A Haven for Criminals: Secure Communications for Transnational Crime
Beyond its disruptive potential, the SIM farm's primary demonstrated use was as a clandestine communications network for criminal enterprises.5 Early forensic analysis confirmed that the system was actively used to "facilitate anonymous, encrypted communication between potential threat actors and criminal enterprises".5 This capability is of immense value to TCOs, whose survival and success depend on their ability to communicate securely and evade law enforcement surveillance.
Officials specifically identified users of the network as including members of known organized crime gangs, drug cartels, and human trafficking rings.1 These groups have long sought robust and untraceable communication methods. While many TCOs leverage commercially available end-to-end encrypted messaging apps like WhatsApp, Signal, or Telegram, these platforms are not without vulnerabilities.37 Law enforcement can still obtain metadata (who is talking to whom, when, and for how long), and the applications themselves are frequent targets for device-level exploits that can compromise communications.
The UNGA SIM farm offered a superior alternative: a bespoke, private network. By controlling the entire communication chain—from the VoIP origination to the local cellular termination—the operators provided a service that was logically insulated from conventional wiretapping and surveillance techniques. For an organization like the Sinaloa Cartel, which has a documented history of building its own sophisticated, encrypted radio networks to maintain operational security, access to such a service within the United States would be a significant strategic asset.39 Similarly, human trafficking networks, which rely on digital platforms for recruitment and coordination, would benefit immensely from an anonymous communication channel to manage their illicit operations.42 The SIM farm, therefore, was not just a tool; it was a critical piece of enabling infrastructure for the most dangerous criminal organizations operating in the U.S.
The Espionage Vector: A Tool for Foreign Intelligence
The network's high level of sophistication, significant financial backing, and strategic placement in close proximity to the UN General Assembly strongly point to its potential use as a tool for espionage and foreign intelligence gathering.8 The UNGA is a prime target for intelligence activities, an event former officials have dubbed the "Super Bowl of espionage," where delegations from around the world converge in one location.45 A powerful, clandestine communications network operating nearby during this period presents a range of opportunities for a hostile intelligence service.
Cybersecurity expert Anthony J. Ferrante, a former White House and FBI official, stated unequivocally, "My instinct is this is espionage".8 The potential espionage applications of the network are varied:
Surveillance and Interception: The hardware could potentially be configured to intercept or eavesdrop on the communications of high-value targets, such as diplomats or officials attending the UNGA. Given its ability to interact directly with the local cellular environment, experts have noted its potential for cloning devices as well 11
Clandestine Communications: The network could serve as a secure "covert channel" for foreign intelligence officers to communicate with their assets on the ground in New York. Using the SIM farm would avoid transmitting over channels that are heavily monitored by U.S. intelligence agencies, providing a valuable layer of operational security.
Influence and Disinformation: The network's massive messaging capacity—estimated at 30 million texts per minute—could be used to launch a large-scale disinformation campaign during a sensitive geopolitical moment, spreading propaganda or false information to create confusion or influence public opinion.1
While officials have stated they have not uncovered a direct plot to disrupt the UNGA, the sheer potential of the network, combined with early forensic links to "nation-state threat actors," makes the espionage vector a credible and serious concern.5
A Balanced Assessment: Expert Commentary and Nuance
While law enforcement officials rightly emphasized the network's catastrophic potential to command public and political attention, it is important to incorporate a degree of analytical nuance. Some independent cybersecurity experts have expressed skepticism about the official framing of the threat. Prominent security researcher Marcus Hutchins, for example, described the Secret Service's announcement as "super weird framing," suggesting that the claim that the network "could have shut down the entire NY cell network" was likely an exaggeration of the capabilities of what was, at its core, a large-scale SIM farm typically used for generic cybercrime. He characterized the claim as "serious FUD" (fear, uncertainty, and doubt), positing that it was far more likely a criminal service whose ultimate purpose was unknown to investigators at the time of the announcement.29
This perspective is valuable in distinguishing between the network's demonstrated capability and its probable intent. The forensic evidence clearly indicates its primary function was providing anonymous, secure communication services to criminal and state actors. The potential for a city-wide DoS attack, while technically feasible given the scale of the hardware, may have been a secondary feature or a theoretical maximum capability rather than the operators' primary business model or objective. It is possible that the DoS potential was a "value-added" feature for a potential client, or even an unintended consequence of amassing so much hardware in one area. A balanced assessment, therefore, acknowledges the full spectrum of potential threats while recognizing that the network's most immediate and confirmed danger was its role as a powerful enabler for a host of other illicit activities.
The Shadow Ecosystem: Nation-States, Cartels, and the Criminal-as-a-Service Model
The investigation into attribution of the network's users is not a simple matter of identifying a single group, the UNGA SIM farm has illuminated a dark and complex ecosystem where the interests and operations of nation-states and transnational criminal organizations converge. The attribution of the network's users is not a simple mafler of identifying a single group but rather of mapping a web of illicit actors who shared access to a common, powerful infrastructure. This incident serves as a stark case study in the blurring lines between espionage and crime, revealing a sophisticated "criminal-as-a-service" model that poses a formidable challenge to traditional law enforcement and intelligence paradigms.
Attribution Analysis: A Nexus of Illicit Actors
The official statements and preliminary forensic findings from the multi-agency investigation paint a picture of a diverse and dangerous clientele. The evidence points not to a single perpetrator but to a nexus of users spanning the spectrum from state-sponsored operatives to hardened criminals. Early analysis of the communications flowing through the seized devices explicitly indicated "cellular communications between nation-state threat actors and individuals that are known to federal law enforcement.".5
This broad attribution was further detailed by officials, who identified the non-state users as a veritable who's who of transnational threats, including organized crime gangs, drug cartels, and human trafficking rings.1 The presence of these groups confirms the network's utility for traditional, profit-motivated crime. Simultaneously, the reference to "nation-state threat actors" introduces the element of geopolitics and espionage. Cybersecurity experts, analyzing the scale, cost, and sophistication of the operation, have assessed that only a handful of countries possess the technical capabilities and financial resources to stand up such a network. The list of potential state sponsors includes major geopolitical adversaries of the United States, such as Russia, China, or other nations with advanced signals intelligence capabilities.10
The simultaneous use of the network by such disparate groups—from those making swafling calls to TCOs and foreign intelligence services—strongly suggests that the operators were running a service-based platform. This infrastructure was likely made available to any actor willing and able to pay, with the operators acting as agnostic service providers in a clandestine digital marketplace.
The Convergence of Threats: Where Espionage and Crime Intersect
This incident provides a powerful real-world example of the growing convergence of state-sponsored intelligence activities and transnational organized crime—a phenomenon that security analysts have termed the "crime-espionage nexus." This convergence can manifest in several ways, and the UNGA SIM farm could fit one or more of these models:
State-Run Operation with Criminal Cover: A foreign intelligence agency may have built, funded, and operated the network primarily for its own purposes (e.g., surveillance, covert communications, disruptive capabilities). In this model, the state may have intentionally allowed criminal groups to use the network. This provides a valuable layer of plausible deniability, as any discovery of the network could be initially aflributed to organized crime, and it creates a significant amount of "noise" in the data, making it harder for counterintelligence agencies to isolate the state-sponsored activity.
Criminal Enterprise as State Proxy: A highly sophisticated TCO could have developed the network as a core part of its criminal business and then leased its services to a nation-state as a contractor. States are increasingly using criminal proxies to conduct plausibly deniable operations, and a TCO with a secure, in-place communications network inside the U.S. would be an invaluable asset to a foreign intelligence service.
A Shared Criminal-as-a-Service Ecosystem: The most likely model, given the diversity of users, is that of a neutral, service-oriented platform. In this scenario, a highly capable entity—whether a state-backed group or a purely entrepreneurial TCO—established the infrastructure and sold access to its capabilities on the dark web or through private channels. This "criminal-as-a-service" model mirrors legitimate cloud computing platforms, offering "Infrastructure-as-a-Service" (IaaS) or "Platform-as-a-Service" (PaaS) to any client with the funds.
This convergence creates a nightmare scenario for law enforcement and intelligence agencies. An investigation that begins as a counter-narcotics case against a cartel could suddenly pivot into a complex counterintelligence operation against a foreign power, requiring entirely different legal authorities, investigative techniques, and inter-agency coordination. The infrastructure itself becomes a "blended threat," where the tool is agnostic to the user's intent, making motive and ultimate responsibility incredibly difficult to untangle.
Transnational Organized Crime in the Digital Age
For modern TCOs, operational security (OPSEC) and communications security (COMSEC) are paramount. The UNGA SIM farm represented a significant leap forward in its capabilities. It provided a communications infrastructure that was not only encrypted but also anonymized at the network level and physically located within their area of operations—the United States.
This is a crucial distinction from simply using an encrypted app on a commercial mobile network. By using the SIM farm, a cartel's communications would not traverse the networks of major U.S. carriers in a way that could be easily subjected to lawful intercept or metadata analysis. The calls and texts would appear as innocuous, local traffic originating from a vast pool of constantly changing burner numbers.38
This capability is particularly valuable for coordinating complex logistics, such as drug shipments, money laundering operations, and human trafficking routes, all of which require real-time, secure communication among operatives spread across a wide geographic area. The discovery of cocaine and firearms at the server sites is a stark reminder that the users and operators of this high-tech network were not just disembodied cybercriminals but were deeply enmeshed in the violent, physical-world activities of organized crime.1 For these organizations, a SIM server is as much a tool of the trade as a firearm or a kilogram of cocaine, demonstrating the complete integration of digital tools into the modus operandi of modern TCOs. This fusion of the cyber and physical domains demands a similarly fused response from law enforcement, breaking down the traditional barriers between cybercrime units, narcotics divisions, and gang task forces.
Strategic Implications and Future Countermeasures
The successful dismantling of the UNGA SIM farm was a significant operational victory that prevented a potential catastrophe. However, the discovery of the network itself serves as a profound strategic warning. It has exposed critical vulnerabilities at the intersection of telecommunications, cybercrime, and national security, demanding a forward-looking response from policymakers, law enforcement agencies, and the private sector. The incident is not merely a large-scale cybercrime case; it is a watershed moment that should catalyze a fundamental rethinking of how the United States protects its critical infrastructure in an era of converged and asymmetric threats.
The New Frontier: Protecting "Invisible" Critical Infrastructures
The UNGA network has forcefully demonstrated that the definition of "critical infrastructure" must expand beyond tangible assets like power grids, financial systems, and transportation hubs. The "invisible infrastructure that keeps a modern city connected"—the cellular networks, data links, and protocols that underpin daily life—is now a confirmed target for sophisticated adversaries.4 This incident highlights a strategic shift in adversarial tactics, moving from a focus on exploiting endpoints (e.g., hacking an individual's computer or phone) to compromising the foundational integrity of the communications network itself.
This new frontier of risk requires a corresponding evolution in defensive posture. Security strategies that are solely user-centric—focused on phishing awareness, endpoint detection, and account security—are insufficient to counter a threat that operates at the network layer. The challenge is to build resilience into the core telecommunications infrastructure itself, making it more difficult for rogue systems like the SIM farm to operate undetected and at scale. This involves not only technological solutions but also a new level of strategic collaboration between the government and the private sector entities that own and operate this infrastructure. The threat is no longer just about data theft; it is about the denial of a service essential to public safety and societal function.
Policy and Law Enforcement Recommendations
The lessons learned from Operation Silent Signal must be translated into actionable policy and procedural changes to prevent a recurrence and to befler equip the nation to counter similar threats in the future. The following recommendations represent a starting point for this necessary evolution.
Enhance Public-Private Partnerships: The telecommunications industry is the front line of defense against this type of threat. While providers like MobileX pledged cooperation after the fact, a more proactive and integrated partnership is required.11 This should include the development of formal information-sharing mechanisms where carriers can report anomalous activities—such as bulk purchases of thousands of SIM cards by a single entity or unusual traffic paflerns indicative of a SIM box—to a central federal clearinghouse without violating customer privacy laws. Furthermore, joint task forces composed of law enforcement investigators and carrier network security engineers could work collaboratively to identify and investigate emerging threats in real-time.
Adapt Investigative Techniques for Converged Threats: The siloed nature of traditional law enforcement is a liability in the face of converged threats. An investigation can no longer be neatly categorized as "cyber," "narcotics," or "counterintelligence" when a single piece of infrastructure serves all three. Federal and local agencies must foster the creation of fused, multi-disciplinary investigative teams. The U.S. Secret Service's Advanced Threat Interdiction Unit serves as an effective model for this approach, combining protective intelligence with advanced technical capabilities.4 This model should be replicated and expanded, ensuring that investigators have the cross-domain training and legal authority to follow leads wherever they go, whether they originate in a drug deal or a swafling aflack.
Develop New Legal and Regulatory Frameworks: The existing legal landscape may be ill-equipped to address the unique threat posed by weaponized SIM farms. While statutes such as 18 U.S.C. § 1029 address fraud related to telecommunications instruments, and 18 U.S.C. § 1030 (the Computer Fraud and Abuse Act) covers unauthorized access to computers, these laws were not written with a massive, domestically-located rogue telecom network in mind.49 Policymakers should consider new legislation that specifically targets the possession or operation of large-scale SIM farms (e.g., any device or collection of devices capable of managing over a certain threshold of SIM cards) without a legitimate, registered business purpose. Such a law, similar to proposals in the United Kingdom, would create a clear legal tool to dismantle these infrastructures before they can be used for malicious purposes.51 This would shift the legal focus from prosecuting the subsequent crimes (fraud, DoS attacks) to proactively eliminating the enabling infrastructure itself.
Conclusion: A Watershed Moment in Homeland Security
The UNGA SIM farm takedown is a landmark event in the history of U.S. homeland security. It represents the first large-scale, confirmed discovery of a domestically-based, weaponized telecommunications infrastructure operated by a coalition of state and criminal actors. It has moved the threat of a communications blackout from a theoretical possibility to a demonstrated, near-miss reality.
This incident must be treated as a strategic warning. It has revealed a sophisticated and well-funded adversary capable of exploiting the seams in our critical infrastructure with alarming proficiency. The successful, preventative action by the Secret Service and its partners averted a crisis and provided an invaluable look into the evolving tactics of our adversaries. The challenge now is to learn from this warning. The underlying vulnerabilities in our telecommunications ecosystem, and the dangerous actors who seek to exploit them, remain. The United States must move decisively to harden this invisible infrastructure, adapt its law enforcement and intelligence paradigms to the reality of converged threats, and build the legal and collaborative frameworks necessary to ensure that the silent signal of our cellular networks can never be silenced by a malicious actor.
Reference:
Secret Service says it thwarted device network used to threaten U.S. officials, accessed on September 24, 2025,
Secret Service smashes massive telecom 'network' threat to NYC cell service ahead ofi Trump's United Nations address - Yahoo News Canada, accessed on September 24, 2025,
Secret Service traced swatting threats against officials. They fiound 300 servers capable ofi crippling New York's cell system - Yahoo News Singapore, accessed on September 24, 2025,
(PDF) Communication Security Failures ofi the Sinaloa Cartel and the Silk Road: An Analysis ofi the Encryption Threat Facing the US Drug Enfiorcement Administration
As our reliance on digital communication technologies increases, so do the risks associated with the same. The propagation of false information is a significant concern. According to the World Economic Forum's 2024 Global Risk Report, India ranks the highest for misinformation and disinformation risk. Indian Vice President Shri Jagdeep Dhankhar emphasized the importance of transparency and accountability in the digital information age, addressing Indian Information Service officer trainees at the Vice President's Enclave on 18th June 2024. He has highlighted the issue of widespread misinformation and the need to regulate it. He stated “Information is power, information is too dangerous a power, information is that power which has to be regulated’’.
VC calls for regulation of the Information Landscape
The Vice President of India, Shri Dhankhar, has called on young Indian Information Service officers to act swiftly to neutralize misinformation on social media. He emphasized the importance of protecting individuals and institutions from fake narratives set afloat on social media. The VP called for the officers to act as information warriors, protecting the privacy and reputation of affected individuals or institutions.
The VP also highlighted India's vibrant democracy and the need for trust in the government. He called for the neutralization of motivated narratives set by global media and stressed the importance of not allowing others to calibrate them. He also emphasized the need to promote India's development narrative globally, highlighting its rich cultural heritage and diversity. He has expressed the need to regulate information, saying “Unregulated information & fake news can create a disaster of un-imaginable proportion.”
MeitY Advisory dated 1st March 2024
As regards to the issue of misinformation, the recently-issued advisory by the Ministry of Electronics and Information Technology (MeitY), specifies that all users should be well informed about the consequences of dealing with unlawful information on online platforms, including disabling access, removing non-compliant information, suspension or termination of access or usage rights of the user to their user account and imposing punishment under applicable law. The advisory entails that users are clearly informed, through terms of services and user agreements, about the consequences of engaging with unlawful information on the platform. Measures to combat deepfakes or misinformation have also been discussed in the advisory. The advisory necessitates identifying synthetically-created content across various formats, and advising platforms to employ labels, unique identifiers, or metadata to ensure transparency. Furthermore, the advisory mandates the disclosure of software details and tracing the first originator of such synthetically created content.
Conclusion
The battle against the growing incidences of misinformation and disinformation will not be easily won: developing a robust regulatory framework to counter online misinformation is essential. Alongside the regulatory framework, the government should encourage digital literacy campaigns, promote prebunking and debunking strategies and collaborate with relevant organisations such as cybersecurity experts, fact-checking entities, researchers, and policy analysts to combat misinformation on the Internet. Vice President Jagdeep Dhankhar's statement scores the need to regulate information to prevent the spread of fake news or misinformation.
In the age of digital advancement, where technology continually grows, so does the method of crime. The rise of cybercrime has created various threats to individuals and organizations, businesses, and government agencies. To combat such crimes law enforcement agencies are looking out for innovative solutions against these challenges. One such innovative solution is taken by the Surat Police in Gujarat, who have embraced the power of Artificial Intelligence (AI) to bolster their efforts in reducing cybercrimes.
Key Highlights
Surat, India, has launched an AI-based WhatsApp chatbot called "Surat Police Cyber Mitra Chatbot" to tackle growing cybercrime. The chatbot provides quick assistance to individuals dealing with various cyber issues, ranging from reporting cyber crimes to receiving safety tips. The initiative is the first of its kind in the country, showcasing Surat Police's dedication to using advanced technology for public safety. Surat Police Commissioner-in-Charge commended the use of AI in crime control as a positive step forward, while also stressing the need for continuous improvements in various areas, including technological advancements, data acquisition related to cybercrime, and training for police personnel.
The Surat Cyber Mitra Chatbot, available on WhatsApp number 9328523417, offers round-the-clock assistance to citizens, allowing them to access crucial information on cyber fraud and legal matters.
Surat Police's AI Chatbot: Cyber Mitra
Surat Police in Gujarat, India, has launched an AI-based WhatsApp chatbot, "Surat Police Cyber Mitra Chatbot," to combat growing cybercrime.
The chatbot provides assistance to individuals dealing with various cyber issues, from reporting cyber crimes to receiving safety tips.
The initiative is the first of its kind in the country, showcasing Surat Police's dedication to using advanced technology for public safety.
The Surat Cyber Mitra Chatbot, available on WhatsApp number 9328523417, offers round-the-clock assistance to citizens, providing crucial information on cyber fraud.
The Growing Cybercrime Threat
With the advancement of technology, cybercrime has become more complex due to the interconnectivity of digital devices and the internet. The criminals exploit vulnerabilities in software, networks, and human behavior to perpetrate a wide range of malicious activities to fulfill their illicit gains. Individuals and organizations face a wide range of cyber risks that can cause significant financial, reputational, and emotional harm.
Surat Police’s Strategic Initiative
Surat Police Cyber Mitra Chatbot is an AI-powered tool for instant problem resolution. This innovative approach allows citizens to address any issue or query at their doorstep, providing immediate and accurate responses to concerns. The chatbot is accessible 24/7, 24 hours a day, and serves as a reliable resource for obtaining legal information related to cyber fraud.
The use of AI in police initiatives has been a topic of discussion for some time, and the Surat City Police has taken this step to leverage technology for the betterment of society. The chatbot promises to boost public trust towards law enforcement and improve the legal system by addressing citizen issues within seconds, ranging from financial disputes to cyber fraud incidents.
This accessibility extends to inquiries such as how to report financial crimes or cyber-fraud incidents and understand legal procedures. The availability of accurate information will not only enhance citizens' trust in the police but also contribute to the efficiency of law enforcement operations. The availability of accurate information will lead to more informed interactions between citizens and the police, fostering a stronger sense of community security and collaboration.
The utilisation of this chatbot will facilitate access to information and empower citizens to engage more actively with the legal system. As trust in the police grows and legal processes become more transparent and accessible, the overall integrity and effectiveness of the legal system are expected to improve significantly.
Conclusion
The Surat Police Cyber Mitra Chatbot is an AI-powered tool that provides round-the-clock assistance to citizens, enhancing public trust in law enforcement and streamlining access to legal information. This initiative bridges the gap between law enforcement and the community, fostering a stronger sense of security and collaboration, and driving improvements in the efficiency and integrity of the legal process.
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